---
title: "Discussion on \"7,426 forecasts against Polymarket: exactly where the market beat our models\" | Hashnode"
description: "Discussion on \"7,426 forecasts against Polymarket: exactly where the market beat our models\". Since September our statistical models have made 7,426 probability calls on Polymarket questions. Each call is stored next to the market price at the moment it was made, and the file holding it is tim"
url: "https://hashnode.com/posts/7-426-forecasts-against-polymarket-exactly-where-the-market-beat-our-models/6af3789d55d6e7c72e4ae3b0"
---

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# [7,426 forecasts against Polymarket: exactly where the market beat our models](https://neuportal.hashnode.dev/7-426-forecasts-against-polymarket-exactly-where-the-market-beat-our-models?utm_source=hashnode&utm_medium=feed)

Since September our statistical models have made 7,426 probability calls on Polymarket questions. Each call is stored next to the market price at the moment it was made, and the file holding it is tim

4d ago · 6 min read · neuportal.hashnode.dev  
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Can AI Predict Prediction Markets? Polymarket, Kalshi & the Limits of Machine Forecasting

Can AI Predict Prediction Markets? Polymarket, Kalshi & the Limits of Machine Forecasting

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