---
title: "Discussion on \"I tested von Mises's 1939 birthday claim with exact arithmetic and 10^5 Monte Carlo trials per group size. 23 people really is enough.\" | Hashnode"
description: "Discussion on \"I tested von Mises's 1939 birthday claim with exact arithmetic and 10^5 Monte Carlo trials per group size. 23 people really is enough.\". In 1939 Richard von Mises published a short paper with the unwieldy title *Über Aufteilungs- und Besetzungswahrscheinlichkeiten*. Inside is the calculation that everyone now calls the birthday paradox. Pick 23 people at random. The probability that t"
url: "https://hashnode.com/posts/i-tested-von-misess-1939-birthday-claim-with-exact-arithmetic-and-105-monte-carlo-trials-per-group-size-23-people-really-is-enough/6a025d6e859efcceac079c31"
---

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# [I tested von Mises's 1939 birthday claim with exact arithmetic and 10^5 Monte Carlo trials per group size. 23 people really is enough.](https://forgottentheorieshashnodedev.hashnode.dev/i-tested-von-misess-1939-birthday-claim-with-exact-arithmetic-and-105-monte-carlo-trials-per-group-size-23-people-really-is-enough?utm_source=hashnode&utm_medium=feed)

In 1939 Richard von Mises published a short paper with the unwieldy title \*Über Aufteilungs- und Besetzungswahrscheinlichkeiten\*. Inside is the calculation that everyone now calls the birthday paradox. Pick 23 people at random. The probability that t

May 11 · 6 min read · forgottentheorieshashnodedev.hashnode.dev  
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