---
title: "Discussion on \"Is a live goal probability honest? Checking 341,846 readings\" | Hashnode"
description: "Discussion on \"Is a live goal probability honest? Checking 341,846 readings\". How VAKYR checks that its live football goal probability means what it says: calibration on 341,846 readings, walk-forward tests."
url: "https://hashnode.com/posts/is-a-live-goal-probability-honest-checking-341-846-readings/6ae8babe02fcd724e2121ae9"
---

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# [Is a live goal probability honest? Checking 341,846 readings](https://vakyr.hashnode.dev/is-a-live-goal-probability-honest-checking-341-846-readings?utm_source=hashnode&utm_medium=feed)

How VAKYR checks that its live football goal probability means what it says: calibration on 341,846 readings, walk-forward tests.

Nov 2 · 3 min read · vakyr.hashnode.dev  
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-   [#data-science](https://hashnode.com/tag/data-science)
-   [#statistics](https://hashnode.com/tag/statistics)
-   [#sports](https://hashnode.com/tag/sports)
-   [#football](https://hashnode.com/tag/football)

## Written by

[VAKYR](https://hashnode.com/@vakyr)

@vakyr · Italy

  
[View profile](https://hashnode.com/@vakyr)

Free live football scores with a goal probability for every match

VAKYR is a free football site. VAKYR Live shows every live match from hundreds of leagues with a goal probability updated every few seconds, and before kick-off it publishes probabilities for 739 leagues and cups with a public track record. https://vakyr.com

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