---
title: "Discussion on \"Our weather bot gave 12% to a Miami high that both markets priced at 2%. That wasn't an edge.\" | Hashnode"
description: "Discussion on \"Our weather bot gave 12% to a Miami high that both markets priced at 2%. That wasn't an edge.\". We rebuilt the BotCookery Kalshi + Polymarket US temperature bot from its own prompt on Oct 25, 2026 and ran it in paper mode on Miami: a 403 that killed every cycle, a 1¢ buy on a day that was already decided, repeat signals, no fees, and no way to tell the model from the market"
url: "https://hashnode.com/posts/weather-bot-kalshi-polymarket-us-12-percent-vs-2-percent/6af5d54107478bdf7d27947c"
---

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# [Our weather bot gave 12% to a Miami high that both markets priced at 2%. That wasn't an edge.](https://botcookery.hashnode.dev/weather-bot-kalshi-polymarket-us-12-percent-vs-2-percent?utm_source=hashnode&utm_medium=feed)

We rebuilt the BotCookery Kalshi + Polymarket US temperature bot from its own prompt on Oct 25, 2026 and ran it in paper mode on Miami: a 403 that killed every cycle, a 1¢ buy on a day that was already decided, repeat signals, no fees, and no way to tell the model from the market

3h ago · 9 min read · botcookery.hashnode.dev  
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