Our weather bot gave 12% to a Miami high that both markets priced at 2%. That wasn't an edge.

We rebuilt the BotCookery Kalshi + Polymarket US temperature bot from its own prompt on Oct 25, 2026 and ran it in paper mode on Miami: a 403 that killed every cycle, a 1¢ buy on a day that was already decided, repeat signals, no fees, and no way to tell the model from the market