Staff Engineer at Instruqt
Nothing here yet.
Hans Klunder What I want to achieve with my stats crunching (and merge-chance.info) is to help people find repos that are likely to accept their contributions. It is true that these (simple after all) stats won't take into account many cases, such as the one you mentioned - a contributor not knowledgeable enough - but I think it may still help tell an active and open project from a non-responsive and insider-focused one. Again, thanks for thinking along!
Hans Klunder The CONTRIBUTOR authorAffiliation means only the someone merged anything before to the repo. Not that they are an insider. Only members and owners are currently excluded, plus those who merged more than 5 times recently. None is (in most cases) a first time contributor. The Julia repo calculation seems alright to me :)
Hans Klunder Have a look at this: https://acceptance.merge-chance.info/target?repo=vuejs/vue (still not officially released version) even after accounting for spam (mostly ..) the merge chance for the old Vue version is really low .. Now you can download the data that it takes into account to verify (still a bit of spam but no longer dominant).