kafkaesque.blogAussie Elections 2025With the final YouGov MRP out for the Australian Elections, it seems that Labor have the advantage. Running a similar analysis I did on the Canadian Election, this is what I got for the Australian Elections. Swinging Labor Areas with younger adults, ...May 1, 2025·2 min read
kafkaesque.blogDeprivation / Census Metrics in GBYesterday an author called Jonn Elledge asked why the East Coast of England was as right wing as it was. This led by down a long rabbit hole. To try and solve this problem, I made this tool which combines census and deprivation indices with the party...Apr 29, 2025·1 min read
kafkaesque.blogCanadian Partisan TraitsTo compare with the YouGov MRP, I worked out all the census attribute proportions for every riding. And I put all the thousands of variables in a sheet, and correlated them with 3 variables: Conservative Voteshare (2025 Projected) Liberal Voteshare...Apr 25, 2025·3 min read
kafkaesque.blogCanadian Deprivation / YouGov MRPCanada has various methods of deprivation. For this analysis, I have picked the Material and Social Deprivation Index. This is not to be confused with the more popular CIMD (which I have found a bit confusing/un-initiative). The YouGov MRP can be fou...Apr 24, 2025·1 min read
kafkaesque.blogTrump, Tariffs, and...Canada?As you are probably well aware, Trump has decided to tariff many countries, weakening growth both domestically and internationally. Lawrence McKay, a political scientist, asked me to see if this was having any effect on the upcoming 2025 Canadian Ele...Apr 24, 2025·1 min read
