JWJacob Weinbreninkafkaesque.blog·May 1, 2025 · 2 min readAussie Elections 2025With the final YouGov MRP out for the Australian Elections, it seems that Labor have the advantage. Running a similar analysis I did on the Canadian Election, this is what I got for the Australian Elections. Swinging Labor Areas with younger adults, ...00
JWJacob Weinbreninkafkaesque.blog·Apr 29, 2025 · 1 min readDeprivation / Census Metrics in GBYesterday an author called Jonn Elledge asked why the East Coast of England was as right wing as it was. This led by down a long rabbit hole. To try and solve this problem, I made this tool which combines census and deprivation indices with the party...00
JWJacob Weinbreninkafkaesque.blog·Apr 25, 2025 · 3 min readCanadian Partisan TraitsTo compare with the YouGov MRP, I worked out all the census attribute proportions for every riding. And I put all the thousands of variables in a sheet, and correlated them with 3 variables: Conservative Voteshare (2025 Projected) Liberal Voteshare...00
JWJacob Weinbreninkafkaesque.blog·Apr 24, 2025 · 1 min readCanadian Deprivation / YouGov MRPCanada has various methods of deprivation. For this analysis, I have picked the Material and Social Deprivation Index. This is not to be confused with the more popular CIMD (which I have found a bit confusing/un-initiative). The YouGov MRP can be fou...00
JWJacob Weinbreninkafkaesque.blog·Apr 24, 2025 · 1 min readTrump, Tariffs, and...Canada?As you are probably well aware, Trump has decided to tariff many countries, weakening growth both domestically and internationally. Lawrence McKay, a political scientist, asked me to see if this was having any effect on the upcoming 2025 Canadian Ele...00