@jamie0
Jamie Matthews
@jamie0
Joined May 2025
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Jamie Matthews's blogs
Recently published
Two Systems, One Truth: Why the Best Forecasters Will Use Both AI and Financial Markets
Mar 17 · 9 min read · Two days before the Academy Awards, I ran a prediction through Perspectives: "Will Timothée Chalamet win the Oscar for Best Actor at the 2026 Academy Awards?" The system's consensus prediction across
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The Kristi Noem Forecast: How AI Underpriced Transactional Loyalty
Mar 5 · 8 min read · On January 30, 2026, I ran a prediction through Perspectives: "Kristi Noem out by March 31?" The system returned a 23% probability. Eight forecasting personas debated the question, interrogated each o
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Three Predictions on Iran: What Perspectives Got Right, Got Wrong, and Couldn't See Coming
Mar 1 · 21 min read · On January 28, 2026, we ran three related predictions through Perspectives, a multi-agent forecasting system that uses AI personas to debate the likelihood of future events. The questions were all foc
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