Thanks for the article, it's an interesting perspective!
In my opinion, it won't replace 95% of developers, but it's certainly important to start preparing your own projects that could prove useful in future work.
Interesting take.
If AI doesn’t replace 95% of developers, what percentage do you think it realistically impacts over the next 5 years?
Curious to see how others here are thinking about this.
Small and medium-sized businesses with few in-house programmers won't change because they don't want to lay them off. Some programmers are even creating their own programs and starting small companies. Only large companies will lay off many employees, but I believe AI will eventually replace 20-30% of programmers.
Interesting point.
SMBs might not reduce headcount quickly, but if one developer can handle more work with AI, the real shift could be in future hiring decisions, not current layoffs.
That’s where the long-term impact might be stronger.